Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 7.436213 8.692252 10.069043 11.686611 13.531249 15.565401 17.974387
2026-02-08 5.083866 6.705605 8.675154 11.226042 14.423344 18.277649 23.252678
2026-02-15 3.748365 5.453756 7.702213 10.845714 15.082274 20.543329 28.055187
2026-02-22 3.096944 4.887244 7.411829 11.165359 16.522954 23.799076 34.308790
2026-03-01 2.635531 4.468572 7.210066 11.508259 17.950280 27.091193 40.841346
2026-03-08 2.123574 3.861779 6.613609 11.152187 18.274893 28.803148 45.244818
2026-03-15 1.748207 3.395224 6.144393 10.894659 18.667889 30.587593 49.834272
2026-03-22 1.590795 3.267452 6.194044 11.451493 20.357438 34.431623 57.783049
2026-03-29 1.429636 3.100892 6.146767 11.825984 21.767092 37.928570 65.432726
2026-04-05 1.244477 2.853130 5.915532 11.842108 22.559012 40.474197 71.729289
2026-04-12 1.071606 2.596516 5.627534 11.711519 23.066475 42.566020 77.405381
2026-04-19 0.909249 2.330071 5.279392 11.418600 23.239980 44.083157 82.197840
2026-04-26 0.761948 2.078074 4.943893 11.150876 23.513529 45.937688 87.972782
2026-05-03 0.620201 1.809191 4.534125 10.689407 23.391540 47.121389 92.759654
2026-05-10 0.510321 1.591014 4.194995 10.321568 23.401984 48.534728 98.058349
2026-05-17 0.460669 1.517680 4.171716 10.626709 24.792342 52.630634 108.557915
2026-05-24 0.418403 1.454294 4.160608 10.954733 26.258377 56.979001 119.828450
2026-05-31 0.348553 1.292186 3.876999 10.613927 26.260035 58.456016 125.726939
2026-06-07 0.294158 1.161421 3.648407 10.367490 26.432632 60.273698 132.396452
2026-06-14 0.277631 1.148781 3.732851 10.900365 28.404069 65.904978 146.976076
2026-06-21 0.256040 1.113263 3.747891 11.258815 30.007579 70.883359 160.555196
2026-06-28 0.225793 1.038290 3.636798 11.274250 30.806418 74.215827 170.987700
2026-07-05 0.195566 0.953835 3.481591 11.149247 31.252825 76.817483 180.067714